Prep Baseball Report

Ontario Future Games Trials IIII: Pitching Data Dive


Cam Black-Araujo
Assistant Director, Canada

On Monday, May 19th, the Prep Baseball Ontario staff hosted it's fifth and final Future Games Trials with the Ontario Future Games Trials IIII hosted at Connorvale Park, home of the Etobicoke Rangers, in Etobicoke, Ontario.

This event featured roughly 20+ prospects in the 2026 - 2028 classes and it was the final chance for players to showcase themselves ahead of our selections for Canada's two teams heading to the Future Games in late July... The Canadian Future Games team (2027/2028 prospects) and Canada's Senior Future Games team (2026 prospects). Players attending Future Games Trials events also qualify to be selected for other marquee events including the New York State Games (NY), NorthEast Senior Games (NY), West Coast Games (CA), Super Sophomore Games (OH) and more.

All player ran through a full workout that included batting practice and bullpens captured on our TrackMan, as well as a 60-yard and splits captured by VALD Performance and positional metrics.. Over the next several days we'll be highlighting top performers from the event within our post-event analysis. Stay locked into our social media channels over the next several days as we continue to push out video, leaderboards and more.

Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:

For complete event results, click here.
To view the Class of 2025 Commitment Board, click here.

To request an invite to the New York State Games (July 2), click here.
To request an invite to the Midwest Super Sophomore Games - 2028 Class (Aug. 1-3), click here.


FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 85.7 mph
2 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 84.1 mph
3 Jovan Wang ON Iroquois Ridge High School 2028 RHP 80.3 mph
4 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP 80.0 mph
5 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP 78.6 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jovan Wang ON Iroquois Ridge High School 2028 RHP 2306 rpm
2 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 2201 rpm
3 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 2178 rpm
4 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP 2035 rpm
5 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP 1940 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B 20.3 in
2 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP 20.1 in
3 Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 17.8 in
4 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 15.9 in
5 Jamie Deforge ON Reds Academy 2027 RHP 15.1 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 12.3
2 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B 11.5
3 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 10.4
4 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 10.4
5 Justin Irwin-Steel ON Dunbarton 2029 SS 7.1

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 80 %
2 Jovan Wang ON Iroquois Ridge High School 2028 RHP 75 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 2337 rpm
2 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP 1992 rpm
3 Jamie Deforge ON Reds Academy 2027 RHP 1950 rpm
4 Justin Irwin-Steel ON Dunbarton 2029 SS 1884 rpm
5 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP 1801 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP -10.2 in
2 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF -10.1 in
3 Justin Irwin-Steel ON Dunbarton 2029 SS -5.1 in
4 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP -4.6 in
5 Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 4.4 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP -13.0
2 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF -11.7
3 Jamie Deforge ON Reds Academy 2027 RHP -11.2
4 Justin Irwin-Steel ON Dunbarton 2029 SS -9.8
5 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B -5.9

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jamie Deforge ON Reds Academy 2027 RHP 80 %
2 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B 66 %

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 2595
2 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 2334
3 Jovan Wang ON Iroquois Ridge High School 2028 RHP 2153
4 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP 2137
5 Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 1513

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Jovan Wang ON Iroquois Ridge High School 2028 RHP -14.6 in
2 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B 12.4 in
3 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF -7.9 in
4 Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 7.2 in
5 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP -6.9 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF -16.3
2 Jovan Wang ON Iroquois Ridge High School 2028 RHP -12.2
3 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP -10.4
4 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP -9.9
5 Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 4.7

STRIKE ZONE %

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 66 %
2 Alexandre Duclos ON Northview Heights SS 2026 RHP 60 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B 16.6
2 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 15.0
3 Jackson Rouse ON Western Technical-Commercial School 2028 OF 12.3
4 Jamie Deforge ON Reds Academy 2027 RHP 9.5
5 Willem Pavey ON Garth Webb Secondary School 2027 RHP 8.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Matteo Maskell-Mastrangelo ON Pickering High School 2029 1B 100 %
^ Hudson Patterson ON Preston High School 2028 RHP 100 %
2 Liam Milleker ON Birchmount Collegiate Institute 2027 RHP 50 %
^ Jamie Deforge ON Reds Academy 2027 RHP 50 %

Upcoming Events

Showcase State Date Location
2025 Milton Elite Scout Day ON 06/28 Milton Community Park Field #1
2025 New York State Games ON 07/02 The Lumberyard - Cortland, NY
Senior Future Games (Class of 2026) NATIONAL 07/22 LakePoint Sports
Future Games (Class of 2027) NATIONAL 07/23 LakePoint Sports
Junior Future Games (Class of 2029/30) NATIONAL 07/24 LakePoint Sports
2025 Midwest Super Sophomore Games (Invite-Only) ON 08/01 Jennings Sports Park
2025 Aurora-King Jays Scout Day ON 09/08 Elephant Baseball

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