Prep Baseball Report

Underclass Showcase: Pitcher Data Dive


By: Dane Poe
Area Scout, Content

On October 19th, the Prep Baseball Illinois staff hosted the Underclass Showcase at The MAX in McCook, IL. Around 30 players participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball Illinois staff.

We've already posted a Statistical Analysis from the event, highlighting more of the traditional statistical categories. Yesterday, we released our Takeaways, highlighting some of the event's top performers.

Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories below:


Trackman

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP 88.3 mph
2 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 84.5 mph
3 JD Farkas IL Hersey 2028 LHP 84.0 mph
4 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 82.1 mph
5 Keegan Crabtree IL Lincoln-Way East 2028 SS 81.7 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP 2088 rpm
2 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 2087 rpm
3 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 2018 rpm
4 Ben McNair IL Deerfield 2029 RHP 2013 rpm
5 Keegan Crabtree IL Lincoln-Way East 2028 SS 2005 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Keegan Crabtree IL Lincoln-Way East 2028 SS 16.3 in
2 Bryce Bohnhoff IL Dieterich 2028 SS 16.0 in
3 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP 15.8 in
4 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 14.5 in
5 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 14.4 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Luke Kolasa IL Brother Rice Chicago 2028 RHP 19.7
2 Evan Gao IL Fremd 2028 RHP 14.8
3 Tyson Adrianopoli IL New Trier 2029 OF 14.6
4 Nolan Blackburn IL Lincoln-Way West 2028 OF -13.9
5 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 12.5

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Tyson Adrianopoli IL New Trier 2029 OF 80 %
2 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 62 %
3 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP 50 %
^ Nolan Blackburn IL Lincoln-Way West 2028 OF 50 %
^ Ben Sutphen IL New Trier 2029 1B 50 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 2301 rpm
2 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 2133 rpm
3 JD Farkas IL Hersey 2028 LHP 2125 rpm
4 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP 2103 rpm
5 Keegan Crabtree IL Lincoln-Way East 2028 SS 2080 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Tyson Adrianopoli IL New Trier 2029 OF -11.6 in
2 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP -8.7 in
3 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF -6.7 in
4 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP -6.2 in
5 Chase Bautista IL Vernon Hills 2029 C -5.9 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 JD Farkas IL Hersey 2028 LHP 12.8
2 Nolan Blackburn IL Lincoln-Way West 2028 OF 11.9
3 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP 11.0
4 Chase Bautista IL Vernon Hills 2029 C -10.4
5 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP -9.8

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 JD Farkas IL Hersey 2028 LHP 100 %
2 Nolan Blackburn IL Lincoln-Way West 2028 OF 83 %
3 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 66 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Evan Gao IL Fremd 2028 RHP 2083
2 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP 1960
3 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 1848

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Ben McNair IL Deerfield 2029 RHP -9.7 in
2 Ben Sutphen IL New Trier 2029 1B 6.7 in
3 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 4.8 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Luke Kolasa IL Brother Rice Chicago 2028 RHP -14.2
2 Chase Bautista IL Vernon Hills 2029 C -11.4
3 Evan Gao IL Fremd 2028 RHP -10.8
4 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP 9.9
5 Ben Sutphen IL New Trier 2029 1B -9.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Evan Gao IL Fremd 2028 RHP 66 %
2 Ben McNair IL Deerfield 2029 RHP 50 %


CHANGEUP

Spin Rate (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 2106 rpm
2 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP 1857 rpm
3 Evan Gao IL Fremd 2028 RHP 1708 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Jenner Smith IL Hersey 2028 OF 15.4 in
2 Blake Harris IL El Paso-Gridley 2028 RHP 11.1 in
3 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 10.8 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Evan Gao IL Fremd 2028 RHP 17.9
2 Colton Carpenter IL Normal University 2028 LHP -17.6
3 Tyson Adrianopoli IL New Trier 2029 OF 15.2

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Nolan Blackburn IL Lincoln-Way West 2028 OF 66 %
2 Jacob Hite IL St. Laurence 2028 OF 60 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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