Prep Baseball Report

Top Prospect Games Waco: Pitcher Data Dive


By: Tyler Defibaugh
Prep Baseball Texas Staff

On Wednesday, July 1st, the PB Texas staff traveled to McLennan Community College in Waco, TX, to host the Top Prospect Games: Waco, an invite-only event for all high school classes.

More than 35 players made their way to McLennan CC and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball Texas staff.

We have already released a Statistical Analysis from the event, highlighting more of the traditional statistical categories, as well as a Quick Hits, highlighting some of the events top performers. We also highlighted some of the top positional players within this Data Dive story.

Today, we will be looking at the top measurable data performers from the event, found below.


Trackman

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 88.8 mph
2 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 88.5 mph
3 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B 86.9 mph
4 Hays Ramsey TX Salado 2027 1B 86.4 mph
5 Jayton Mulkey TX Caddo Mills 2027 RHP 86.2 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jayton Mulkey TX Caddo Mills 2027 RHP 2287 rpm
2 Kalum Garner TX Decatur 2027 RHP 2108 rpm
3 Maddox McCrary TX Keller 2028 OF 2098 rpm
4 Christian Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 OF 2094 rpm
5 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 2090 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Carter Ritz TX Clifton High School 2029 2B 18.4 in
2 Collin Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 2B 17.4 in
3 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B 17.3 in
4 Baker Jackson TX Round Rock High School 2027 OF 17.2 in
5 Hays Ramsey TX Salado 2027 1B 16.9 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 13.0
2 Hays Ramsey TX Salado 2027 1B 9.4
3 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP -9.4
4 Carter Ritz TX Clifton High School 2029 2B 8.9
5 Baker Jackson TX Round Rock High School 2027 OF 8.9

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jamison Stephens TX Salado 2027 LHP 66 %
2 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 61 %
3 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B 60 %
4 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 57 %
^ Christian Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 OF 57 %
5 Hays Ramsey TX Salado 2027 1B 55 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B 2578 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B -6.3 in
2 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 5.9 in
3 Jamison Stephens TX Salado 2027 LHP -4.3 in
4 Maddox McCrary TX Keller 2028 OF -3.8 in
5 Collin Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 2B -2.4 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Maddox McCrary TX Keller 2028 OF 16.2
2 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B -5.3
3 Collin Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 2B -5.3
4 Jamison Stephens TX Salado 2027 LHP 4.8
5 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 1.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 100 %
2 Maddox McCrary TX Keller 2028 OF 80 %
3 Collin Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 2B 57 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B 2457
2 Christian Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 OF 2387
3 Kalum Garner TX Decatur 2027 RHP 2258
4 Carter Ritz TX Clifton High School 2029 2B 2201
5 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 2179

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Christian Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 OF -8.5 in
2 Jayton Mulkey TX Caddo Mills 2027 RHP 7.7 in
3 Carter Ritz TX Clifton High School 2029 2B 4.2 in
4 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 2.1 in
5 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 1.9 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Christian Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 OF 19.0
2 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B -14.7
3 Tavyn Lonis TX The Bennett School 2027 3B -11.8
4 Jayton Mulkey TX Caddo Mills 2027 RHP -9.7
5 Kalum Garner TX Decatur 2027 RHP -9.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jayton Mulkey TX Caddo Mills 2027 RHP 100 %
2 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 83 %
3 Kalum Garner TX Decatur 2027 RHP 66 %
4 Jamison Stephens TX Salado 2027 LHP 50 %


CHANGEUP

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Collin Ferrier TX Cuero H S 2027 2B 14.0 in
2 Jamison Stephens TX Salado 2027 LHP 12.5 in
3 Carter Ritz TX Clifton High School 2029 2B 12.3 in
4 Maddox McCrary TX Keller 2028 OF 10.1 in
5 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP 9.8 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Carter Ritz TX Clifton High School 2029 2B 15.7
2 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 14.4
3 Maddox McCrary TX Keller 2028 OF -13.7
4 Jamison Stephens TX Salado 2027 LHP -13.3
5 Reid Overstreet TX Rockwall 2028 LHP -11.3

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Kalum Garner TX Decatur 2027 RHP 100 %
^ Hays Ramsey TX Salado 2027 1B 100 %
2 Zach Barnes TX Rockwall 2028 3B 50 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.


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