Bay Area Summer ID: Pitcher Data Dive
July 7, 2026
On Tuesday, June 30th, the Prep Baseball California team hosted the Bay Area Summer ID at Islanders Field in Lathrop, Cal. This was an open event for 2026-2030 prospects, and gave our staff an ample look at the area's top prospects.
Over 40 players made their way to Lathrop and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball California staff.
Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories below:
FASTBALL
VELOCITY (MAX)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
| 1 | Preston Hillis | CA | Las Lomas High | 2028 | RHP | 87.6 mph |
| 2 | Rhythm Green | CA | McKinleyville High | 2027 | SS | 84.5 mph |
| 3 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 83.5 mph |
| 4 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 82.6 mph |
| 5 | Brandon Hurtado | CA | Freedom High | 2029 | SS | 82.6 mph |
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Brandon Hurtado | CA | Freedom High | 2029 | SS | 2467 rpm |
| 2 | Rhythm Green | CA | McKinleyville High | 2027 | SS | 2387 rpm |
| 3 | Boston Wood | CA | Liberty High | 2028 | OF | 2197 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 16.7 in |
| 2 | Preston Hillis | CA | Las Lomas High | 2028 | RHP | 12.1 in |
| 3 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | 11.4 in |
| 4 | Julian Quezada | CA | Westmont High | 2029 | C | 11.3 in |
| 5 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 10.7 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | 14.3 |
| 2 | Brett Barnes | CA | Cardinal Newman High School | 2029 | RHP | 13.0 |
| 3 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 7.1 |
| 4 | Julian Quezada | CA | Westmont High | 2029 | C | 6.6 |
| 5 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 6.3 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | 71 % |
| 2 | Brandon Hurtado | CA | Freedom High | 2029 | SS | 57 % |
| 3 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 50 % |
Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Brandon Hurtado | CA | Freedom High | 2029 | SS | 2679 rpm |
| 2 | Boston Wood | CA | Liberty High | 2028 | OF | 2265 rpm |
| 3 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | 2211 rpm |
| 4 | Brett Barnes | CA | Cardinal Newman High School | 2029 | RHP | 2159 rpm |
| 5 | David Rapoport | CA | Junipero Serra High School | 2030 | SS | 2072 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Boston Wood | CA | Liberty High | 2028 | OF | -20.3 in |
| 2 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | -14.0 in |
| 3 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | -13.5 in |
| 4 | Emilio Estrada | CA | Franklin High School | 2029 | OF | -13.5 in |
| 5 | Rhythm Green | CA | McKinleyville High | 2027 | SS | -13.4 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | -18.1 |
| 2 | Logan Connell | CA | Del Oro High | 2028 | RHP | -17.9 |
| 3 | Brandon Hurtado | CA | Freedom High | 2029 | SS | -16.7 |
| 4 | Preston Hillis | CA | Las Lomas High | 2028 | RHP | -14.0 |
| 5 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | -14.0 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Julian Quezada | CA | Westmont High | 2029 | C | 100 % |
| ^ | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 100 % |
| ^ | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 100 % |
| 2 | Logan Connell | CA | Del Oro High | 2028 | RHP | 50 % |
| ^ | Brandon Hurtado | CA | Freedom High | 2029 | SS | 50 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | 2220 |
| 2 | Rhythm Green | CA | McKinleyville High | 2027 | SS | 2094 |
| 3 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | 2090 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Rhythm Green | CA | McKinleyville High | 2027 | SS | -14.1 in |
| 2 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | -13.6 in |
| 3 | David Rapoport | CA | Junipero Serra High School | 2030 | SS | -6.9 in |
| 4 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | -4.7 in |
| 5 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | -2.2 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Louis Rivera III | CA | Central Catholic High School | 2027 | SS | -17.8 |
| 2 | Rhythm Green | CA | McKinleyville High | 2027 | SS | -13.1 |
| 3 | David Rapoport | CA | Junipero Serra High School | 2030 | SS | -8.5 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Julian Quezada | CA | Westmont High | 2029 | C | 100 % |
| 2 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 66 % |
CHANGEUP
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 12.7 in |
| 2 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | 10.6 in |
| 3 | Emilio Estrada | CA | Franklin High School | 2029 | OF | 10.4 in |
| 4 | Logan Connell | CA | Del Oro High | 2028 | RHP | 7.0 in |
| 5 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 5.9 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Brett Barnes | CA | Cardinal Newman High School | 2029 | RHP | 15.9 |
| 2 | Reed Colley | CA | De LA Salle High School | 2027 | RHP | 14.5 |
| 3 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 11.7 |
| 4 | Nat Ha | CA | Vista del Lago High | 2028 | SS | 10.8 |
| 5 | Logan Connell | CA | Del Oro High | 2028 | RHP | 10.2 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Elias Sonnenberg | CA | Granite Bay High | 2028 | RHP | 66 % |
| 2 | Logan Connell | CA | Del Oro High | 2028 | RHP | 50 % |
| ^ | Brett Barnes | CA | Cardinal Newman High School | 2029 | RHP | 50 % |
+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.
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