Prep Baseball Report

Future Games Tryout, NorCal: Pitcher Data Dive


By: Gavin Smith
Manager, Content & Operations

On Sunday, May 31st, the Prep Baseball California team hosted the NorCal Future Games Tryout at University of Pacific in Stockton, Cal. This was an invite-only event for 2028 graduates, and gave our staff an ample look at the area's top prospects.

Nearly 40 players made their way to Stockton and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball California staff.

Today, we will be looking at the top measurable data performers from the event, found below.


FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP 89.5 mph
2 Mark Douglas CA Cardinal Newman High School 2028 RHP 87.8 mph
3 Colt Logsdon CA C. K. McClatchy High 2028 3B 87.4 mph
4 Hudson Brown CA Whitney High 2028 1B 87.0 mph
5 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 86.6 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Tucker Baird CA Liberty High 2028 RHP 2441 rpm
2 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 2397 rpm
3 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 2227 rpm
4 Christopher Cruz CA Granite Bay High 2028 3B 2223 rpm
5 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 2213 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 19.5 in
2 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP 16.8 in
3 Trenton Lira CA El Diamante High 2028 RHP 15.5 in
4 Rocco Zirelli CA Junipero Serra High School 2028 RHP 13.6 in
5 Ryan Miller CA Granite Bay High 2028 1B 13.5 in
6 Tucker Baird CA Liberty High 2028 RHP 12.8 in
7 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 12.6 in
8 Hudson Brown CA Whitney High 2028 1B 11.8 in
9 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 11.2 in
10 Christian Cobos CA Redwood High 2028 LHP 10.9 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Colt Logsdon CA C. K. McClatchy High 2028 3B 18.9
2 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 18.0
3 Christian Cobos CA Redwood High 2028 LHP -16.4
4 Mark Douglas CA Cardinal Newman High School 2028 RHP 15.8
5 Hudson Brown CA Whitney High 2028 1B 13.3

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 80 %
2 Trenton Lira CA El Diamante High 2028 RHP 75 %
3 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF 71 %
4 Rocco Zirelli CA Junipero Serra High School 2028 RHP 66 %
5 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 60 %

 Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 2476 rpm
2 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF 2340 rpm
3 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 2334 rpm
4 Mark Douglas CA Cardinal Newman High School 2028 RHP 2070 rpm
5 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP 1968 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF -14.9 in
2 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP -7.7 in
3 Ryan Miller CA Granite Bay High 2028 1B -6.5 in
4 Hudson Brown CA Whitney High 2028 1B -5.8 in
5 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP -5.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF -12.7
2 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP 3.4
3 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP -3.3
4 Hudson Brown CA Whitney High 2028 1B -2.9
5 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP -2.7


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Christopher Cruz CA Granite Bay High 2028 3B 2624
2 Tucker Baird CA Liberty High 2028 RHP 2455
3 Colt Logsdon CA C. K. McClatchy High 2028 3B 2441
4 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 2354
5 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 2261

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Ryder Miller CA Redwood High 2028 OF -9.7 in
2 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B -8.7 in
3 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF -7.3 in
4 Ethan Sharaky CA Woodcreek High 2028 1B -6.9 in
5 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP -6.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Christopher Cruz CA Granite Bay High 2028 3B -18.0
2 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B -17.6
3 Tucker Baird CA Liberty High 2028 RHP -15.3
4 Ryder Miller CA Redwood High 2028 OF -12.6
5 Mark Douglas CA Cardinal Newman High School 2028 RHP -12.0

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF 100 %
2 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 60 %
^ Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 60 %
3 Ryan Miller CA Granite Bay High 2028 1B 50 %


CHANGEUP

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 17.5 in
2 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP 9.5 in
3 Colt Logsdon CA C. K. McClatchy High 2028 3B 7.9 in
4 Christian Cobos CA Redwood High 2028 LHP 5.0 in
5 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 4.3 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brandon Park CA Central Valley Christian Academy 2028 OF 18.9
2 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 16.4
3 Christian Cobos CA Redwood High 2028 LHP -15.8
4 Mark Douglas CA Cardinal Newman High School 2028 RHP 15.0
5 Ethan Sharaky CA Woodcreek High 2028 1B -14.8

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jackson Stewart CA Del Oro High 2028 3B 100 %
2 Carter Grant CA Alameda High 2028 LHP 66 %
^ Rocco Zirelli CA Junipero Serra High School 2028 RHP 66 %
3 Tim Harrick MA Deerfield Academy 2028 RHP 50 %
^ Mark Douglas CA Cardinal Newman High School 2028 RHP 50 %


+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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