Prep Baseball Report

Pitching Data Dive: LV Top Prospect Games


RJ Elmore
Western Operations

On May 28/29th, the Prep Baseball Nevada staff hosted the Las Vegas Top Prospect Games at the College of Southern Nevada. The event featured 80+ prospects and it was a strong group of HS prospects on hand for their showcase performances as well as their live performances during the gampley portion of the event on day 2. The event allowed our staff to collect updated data on all athletes, as well as give us an up-close look at some of the top uncommitted prospects in Nevada.

Over the next few days, we will be highliting some of the top performances from the Las Vegas Top Prospect Games. Be sure to check our social media pages to see more data dives from the event, as well as the Las Vegas Rising Stars Games.

Yesterday, we went over some of the top overall statistical perfomances in our Top Prospect Games Statistical Analysis. Today, we will do a deep dive on the top pitching perfomances and TrackMan pitching metrics from this past Wednesday. 

For complete event resultsclick here.
To register for the Reno Top Prospect Games (June 11), click here.
To register for the Reno Rising Stars Games (June 11), click here.

To view the Nevada commitment board, click here.
To view all recent Nevada news, click here.


FASTBALL

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Noah McConnell NV Liberty Baptist Academy 2026 RHP 89.6 mph
2 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP 89.3 mph
3 Hogan Hawkins NV Silverado 2026 SS 88.6 mph
4 Grayden Baker NV Liberty High School, Henderson, NV 2026 RHP 87.9 mph
5 Brayden Lenahan NV Spring Valley 2027 RHP 87.8 mph
6 Kayne Horibe NV PAHRUMP VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL 2026 OF 86.5 mph
7 Payton Bryan NV Shadow Ridge 2026 RHP 84.9 mph
8 Niko Carpenter NV Bishop Gorman 2026 RHP 84.8 mph
9 Briggs Barlow NV Southeast Career Tech 2026 RHP 84.8 mph
10 Dominic Tiberi NV Centennial 2026 RHP 84.6 mph

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

SPIN RATE (AVG)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Brayden Lenahan NV Spring Valley 2027 RHP 2383 rpm
2 Niko Carpenter NV Bishop Gorman 2026 RHP 2334 rpm
3 Briggs Barlow NV Southeast Career Tech 2026 RHP 2255 rpm
4 Kayne Horibe NV PAHRUMP VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL 2026 OF 2241 rpm
5 Sawyer Violand NV Faith Lutheran 2027 OF 2222 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Leighton Canarelli NV Faith Lutheran High School 2028 OF 16.9 in
2 Niko Carpenter NV Bishop Gorman 2026 RHP 16.8 in
3 Payton Bryan NV Shadow Ridge 2026 RHP 16.5 in
4 Alexander Savov NV Bishop Gorman 2028 OF 16.4 in
5 Nicholas Maffey NV Ed W. Clark 2027 RHP 16.1 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Ty Kincaid KS Palo Verde 2028 LHP -14.6
2 Antonio Whitney NV Pahrump Valley High School 2027 3B 13.9
3 Connor McDonald NV Palo Verde 2028 RHP 12.6
4 Grayden Baker NV Liberty High School, Henderson, NV 2026 RHP 12.1
5 Niko Carpenter NV Bishop Gorman 2026 RHP 12.1

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Dominic Tiberi NV Centennial 2026 RHP 73 %
2 Antonio Whitney NV Pahrump Valley High School 2027 3B 66 %
^ Hogan Hawkins NV Silverado 2026 SS 66 %

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP 2570 rpm
2 Noah McConnell NV Liberty Baptist Academy 2026 RHP 2562 rpm
3 Crosby McGreal NV Coronado 2028 RHP 2440 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Leighton Canarelli NV Faith Lutheran High School 2028 OF 16.9 in
2 Niko Carpenter NV Bishop Gorman 2026 RHP 16.8 in
3 Payton Bryan NV Shadow Ridge 2026 RHP 16.5 in
4 Alexander Savov NV Bishop Gorman 2028 OF 16.4 in
5 Nicholas Maffey NV Ed W. Clark 2027 RHP 16.1 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Noah McConnell NV Liberty Baptist Academy 2026 RHP -16.8
2 Dylan Blinn NV Bishop Gorman 2026 OF 12.2
3 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP -11.1
4 Connor McDonald NV Palo Verde 2028 RHP -10.4
5 Soren Savarda NV Bishop Gorman 2027 2B -10.4

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP 2668
2 Hogan Hawkins NV Silverado 2026 SS 2437
3 Noah McConnell NV Liberty Baptist Academy 2026 RHP 2365

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP -11.5 in
2 Connor McDonald NV Palo Verde 2028 RHP 7.6 in
3 Grayden Baker NV Liberty High School, Henderson, NV 2026 RHP 4.2 in
4 Dominic Tiberi NV Centennial 2026 RHP 3.9 in
5 Bryce Judd NV Shadow Ridge 2026 RHP -3.8 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP -10.6
2 Jonathan Ramos NV Rancho 2026 OF 9.4
3 Bryce Judd NV Shadow Ridge 2026 RHP -9.2
4 Noah McConnell NV Liberty Baptist Academy 2026 RHP -8.8
5 Briggs Barlow NV Southeast Career Tech 2026 RHP -8.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Andre Alvarez-Ponce NV Las Vegas 2027 RHP 100 %
2 Briggs Barlow NV Southeast Career Tech 2026 RHP 75 %
3 Payton Bryan NV Shadow Ridge 2026 RHP 62 %

CHANGEUP

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Connor McDonald NV Palo Verde 2028 RHP 19.0
2 Liam Radke NV Faith Lutheran 2027 RHP 17.0
3 Grayden Baker NV Liberty High School, Henderson, NV 2026 RHP 15.5
4 Nicholas Maffey NV Ed W. Clark 2027 RHP 15.0
5 Ryder Metz NV Coronado 2028 SS 14.4

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Nicholas Maffey NV Ed W. Clark 2027 RHP 100 %
^ Adrian D'Anna NV Las Vegas 2027 1B 100 %
^ Hogan Hawkins NV Silverado 2026 SS 100 %
^ Alexander Savov NV Bishop Gorman 2028 OF 100 %
^ Leighton Canarelli NV Faith Lutheran High School 2028 OF 100 %
^ Dylan Blinn NV Bishop Gorman 2026 OF 100 %

Upcoming Events

Showcase State Date Location
2025 ProCase - West NV 06/01 Pepperdine University - Malibu, CA
Wow Factor Scout Day NV 06/07 College of Southern Nevada - Henderson, NV
Reno Top Prospect Games (Invite-Only) NV 06/11 Bishop Manogue Catholic High School - Reno, NV
Reno Rising Stars Games (Invite-Only) NV 06/11 Bishop Manogue Catholic High School - Reno, NV
Senior Future Games (Class of 2026) NATIONAL 07/22 LakePoint Sports
Future Games (Class of 2027) NATIONAL 07/23 LakePoint Sports
Junior Future Games (Class of 2029/30) NATIONAL 07/24 LakePoint Sports
2025 West Coast Super Sophomore Games (Invite-Only) NV 09/26 University of Oregon / Bushnell University

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