Prep Baseball Report

Mississippi Preseason All-State: Data Dive, Pitchers


Prep Baseball Mississippi Staff

STARKVILLE, MS — The Mississippi Preseason All-State was held on Sunday, February 1st at the Palmeiro Center on the campus of Mississippi State that featured top talent from the 2026-2029 classes. Players went through a pro-style workout with TrackMan and VALD Performance tech, while pitchers threw in a bullpen setting and were able to get data and metrics on our TrackMan unit.

Some prospects built on past showings, while others made strong first impressions.

We continue our post-event coverage with a deep dive into the data and metrics from the event, with more breakdowns and full scouting reports coming soon.

+ View all event stats HERE.

 

+ To view the updated Player Rankings, CLICK HERE.
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FASTBALL 

MAX VELOCITY (MPH)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Anson Bright MS South Panola 2028 RHP 93.1 mph
2 Drew Davis MS Sumrall 2027 SS 92.8 mph
3 Trent Buckley MS Columbia Academy 2027 RHP 90.5 mph
4 Parker Israel MS Hernando 2028 3B 89.2 mph
5 Christopher Poole MS Oak Grove 2028 RHP 89.0 mph
6 Jack Page MS Northwest Rankin 2027 RHP 88.8 mph
7 Rob Upchurch MS Oxford 2028 1B 88.8 mph
8 Bradley Carroll MS Magnolia Heights 2027 RHP 88.5 mph
9 Paxton Wright MS Amory 2027 3B 88.1 mph
10 Hayes Algee MS Simpson County Academy 2027 RHP 87.1 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Walker Chrestman MS Pontotoc High School 2028 RHP 2360 rpm
2 Jack Page MS Northwest Rankin 2027 RHP 2309 rpm
3 Christopher Poole MS Oak Grove 2028 RHP 2297 rpm
4 Paxton Wright MS Amory 2027 3B 2294 rpm
5 John Baker “JB” Boykin MS Amory 2028 LHP 2252 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

SPIN EFFICIENCY% (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Efficiency % (avg)
1 Jack Page MS Northwest Rankin 2027 RHP 98 %
2 Easton Smith MS Lewisburg 2029 OF 96 %
3 Noal Timmons MS Tupelo 2029 1B 94 %
4 Paxton Wright MS Amory 2027 3B 93 %
5 Brennan Telano MS Choctaw County High School 2028 SS 92 %

Spin Efficiency: This metric is the percentage of the raw spin rate that directly impacts pitch movement; so while raw spin is measured by revolutions per minute (rpm), spin efficiency is the ratio of true spin divided by raw spin. It’s important to understand that more is not always better when it comes to spin efficiency. The optimal spin efficiency on a pitch depends on the pitch type and should be understood in the context of a pitcher’s entire arsenal. Regarding the true four-seam fastball, a spin efficiency close to 100 percent is preferable, indicating that nearly all the backspin generated on the ball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand is contributing to the “riding” action the pitch has as it enters and exits the strike zone, making it especially effective in the upper third of the strike zone.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Paxton Wright MS Amory 2027 3B 21.8 in
2 Aden Bell MS Hartfield Academy 2029 RHP 19.5 in
3 Noal Timmons MS Tupelo 2029 1B 19.2 in
4 Landon Smith MS Lewisburg 2027 RHP 18.0 in
5 Parks Brock MS Forrest County 2027 1B 17.7 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Brennan Telano MS Choctaw County High School 2028 SS 17.7
2 BC Stoddard MS St Patrick Catholic High School 2028 RHP 16.5
3 Joshua Golden MS Northpoint Christian 2028 SS 16.3
4 Rob Upchurch MS Oxford 2028 1B 16.0
5 Noal Timmons MS Tupelo 2029 1B 15.8

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Trent Buckley MS Columbia Academy 2027 RHP 100 %
^ Hayes Algee MS Simpson County Academy 2027 RHP 100 %
2 Eli Roye MS Lewisburg 2029 RHP 83 %
3 Timothy Axton MS Puckett 2026 OF 75 %
^ William Gunn Jr MS St. Patrick Catholic High School 2029 OF 75 %
4 Jake Turner MS Lawrence County High School 2028 C 66 %
^ John Baker “JB” Boykin MS Amory 2028 LHP 66 %
^ Chad Davidson MS St. Joseph Catholic 2027 LHP 66 %
^ Ethan Killough MS Kossuth 2028 C 66 %
^ Crews Albritton MS Tri-County Academy 2027 OF 66 %
^ Bradley Carroll MS Magnolia Heights 2027 RHP 66 %
^ Aden Bell MS Hartfield Academy 2029 RHP 66 %
5 BC Stoddard MS St Patrick Catholic High School 2028 RHP 60 %
^ Parks Brock MS Forrest County 2027 1B 60 %
^ Tucker Elliott MS Myrtle Attendance Center 2029 OF 60 %

Average MLB pitchers throw 62 percent strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65 percent of the time, or a ratio of roughly 2:1, strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Tucker Elliott MS Myrtle Attendance Center 2029 OF 2395 rpm
2 Kade Buchanan MS Madison Ridgeland Academy 2027 RHP 2321 rpm
3 Chad Davidson MS St. Joseph Catholic 2027 LHP 2307 rpm
4 Grayson Bean MS Sylva Bay Academy 2027 RHP 2305 rpm
5 Anson Bright MS South Panola 2028 RHP 2261 rpm

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Anson Bright MS South Panola 2028 RHP -21.0
2 Walker Chrestman MS Pontotoc High School 2028 RHP -16.9
3 Brennan Telano MS Choctaw County High School 2028 SS -16.4
4 Tucker Elliott MS Myrtle Attendance Center 2029 OF 16.4
5 Rush Watkins MS bsldwyn 2028 RHP -15.9

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Trent Buckley MS Columbia Academy 2027 RHP 100 %
^ Anson Bright MS South Panola 2028 RHP 100 %
2 Grayson Bean MS Sylva Bay Academy 2027 RHP 75 %
3 Rush Watkins MS bsldwyn 2028 RHP 66 %
^ Kade Buchanan MS Madison Ridgeland Academy 2027 RHP 66 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 William Gunn Jr MS St. Patrick Catholic High School 2029 OF 2664
2 Drew Davis MS Sumrall 2027 SS 2660
3 Eli Roye MS Lewisburg 2029 RHP 2623
4 Chad Davidson MS St. Joseph Catholic 2027 LHP 2486
5 Paxton Wright MS Amory 2027 3B 2390

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Ethan Killough MS Kossuth 2028 C -17.0
2 Reese Parker MS West Harrison 2029 SS -17.0
3 Jake Turner MS Lawrence County High School 2028 C -16.0
4 William Gunn Jr MS St. Patrick Catholic High School 2029 OF -15.6
5 Hayes Algee MS Simpson County Academy 2027 RHP -15.4

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 William Gunn Jr MS St. Patrick Catholic High School 2029 OF 100 %
^ Chad Davidson MS St. Joseph Catholic 2027 LHP 100 %
^ Easton Smith MS Lewisburg 2029 OF 100 %
^ Anson Bright MS South Panola 2028 RHP 100 %
2 William Mayo MS Oxford 2027 OF 60 %
3 Walker Chrestman MS Pontotoc High School 2028 RHP 50 %
^ Parker Israel MS Hernando 2028 3B 50 %
^ Christopher Poole MS Oak Grove 2028 RHP 50 %
^ Drew Davis MS Sumrall 2027 SS 50 %
^ Grayson Bean MS Sylva Bay Academy 2027 RHP 50 %
^ Rob Upchurch MS Oxford 2028 1B 50 %


CHANGEUP

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Walker Whitehead MS Pisgah 2028 1B 2075 rpm
2 Kade Buchanan MS Madison Ridgeland Academy 2027 RHP 1957 rpm
3 Rush Watkins MS bsldwyn 2028 RHP 1940 rpm
4 Noal Timmons MS Tupelo 2029 1B 1939 rpm
5 Timothy Axton MS Puckett 2026 OF 1920 rpm

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Joshua Golden MS Northpoint Christian 2028 SS 21.4
2 Brennan Telano MS Choctaw County High School 2028 SS 19.9
3 Rush Watkins MS bsldwyn 2028 RHP 19.0
4 Eli Roye MS Lewisburg 2029 RHP 18.7
5 Easton Smith MS Lewisburg 2029 OF -17.6

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Mason Hierlmeier MS Madison Ridgeland Academy 2029 3B 100 %
^ Drew Davis MS Sumrall 2027 SS 100 %
^ Landon Smith MS Lewisburg 2027 RHP 100 %
2 Jack Vance MS Kosciusko High School 2028 OF 66 %
^ Landon Johnson MS Jackson Prep 2028 OF 66 %
3 John Douglas Westfall MS Madison Central 2029 OF 60 %
^ Parker Israel MS Hernando 2028 3B 60 %


UPCOMING 2026 EVENTS ⤵️

SHOWCASE DATE LOCATION
South Mississippi Rising Stars ID 04/01 Mississippi Gulf Coast CC - Perkinston, MS
North Mississippi Rising Stars ID 04/05 Elevate - Hernando, MS
Central Mississippi Rising Stars ID 04/19 Clinton HS - Clinton, MS
South Mississippi Summer ID 06/02 Pearl River CC - Poplarville, MS
Magnolia State Games 06/09-06/10 Freedom Ridge Park - Ridgeland, MS

 

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