Prep Baseball Report

Bay Area Fall ID: Pitcher Data Dive


By: Gavin Smith
Manager, Content & Operations

On Sunday, October 26th, the Prep Baseball California team hosted the Bay Area Fall ID at Islander Field in Stockton, Cal. This was an open event for high school classes (2026-2029), and gave our staff an ample look at the area's top prospects.

Over 20 players made their way to Stockton and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball California staff.

Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories below:

Trackman

FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Dalton Deadman CA Petaluma High 2027 OF 87.5 mph
2 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 85.6 mph
3 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 84.5 mph
4 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 84.3 mph
5 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 84.2 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 2336 rpm
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 2025 rpm
3 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 2019 rpm
4 Mateo Meenderink CA Heritage High 2028 SS 2008 rpm
5 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 1798 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 17.8 in
2 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 17.7 in
3 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 16.2 in
4 Dalton Deadman CA Petaluma High 2027 OF 10.8 in
5 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 10.4 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 15.4
2 Dalton Deadman CA Petaluma High 2027 OF 11.5
3 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 10.1
4 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 9.0
5 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 7.0

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 66 %
2 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 57 %
3 Graham Hague CA Justin-Siena 2028 RHP 42 %

 Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.

CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 2656 rpm
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 2232 rpm
3 Dalton Deadman CA Petaluma High 2027 OF 2163 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP -12.9 in
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP -9.3 in
3 Mateo Meenderink CA Heritage High 2028 SS -9.1 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP -16.0
2 Mateo Meenderink CA Heritage High 2028 SS -12.5
3 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP -9.8

SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 2128
2 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 2063

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP -7.8 in
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 2.2 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP -6.8
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP -2.7

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 William Pettey CA Whitney 2027 RHP 37 %
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 20 %

CHANGEUP

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Mateo Meenderink CA Heritage High 2028 SS 12.2 in
2 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 7.3 in
3 Dalton Deadman CA Petaluma High 2027 OF 7.0 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 17.4
2 Dalton Deadman CA Petaluma High 2027 OF 11.1
3 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 7.8

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Jackson Gray CA Del Oro High 2027 RHP 66 %
2 Mateo Meenderink CA Heritage High 2028 SS 50 %
3 Luke Szakacs CA Rocklin 2027 RHP 33 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

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