Bay Area Fall ID: Pitcher Data Dive
October 31, 2025
On Sunday, October 26th, the Prep Baseball California team hosted the Bay Area Fall ID at Islander Field in Stockton, Cal. This was an open event for high school classes (2026-2029), and gave our staff an ample look at the area's top prospects.
Over 20 players made their way to Stockton and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball California staff.
Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories below:
Trackman
FASTBALL
VELOCITY (MAX)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
| 1 | Dalton Deadman | CA | Petaluma High | 2027 | OF | 87.5 mph |
| 2 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 85.6 mph |
| 3 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 84.5 mph |
| 4 | Graham Hague | CA | Justin-Siena | 2028 | RHP | 84.3 mph |
| 5 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 84.2 mph |
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Graham Hague | CA | Justin-Siena | 2028 | RHP | 2336 rpm |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 2025 rpm |
| 3 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 2019 rpm |
| 4 | Mateo Meenderink | CA | Heritage High | 2028 | SS | 2008 rpm |
| 5 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 1798 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Graham Hague | CA | Justin-Siena | 2028 | RHP | 17.8 in |
| 2 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 17.7 in |
| 3 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 16.2 in |
| 4 | Dalton Deadman | CA | Petaluma High | 2027 | OF | 10.8 in |
| 5 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 10.4 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 15.4 |
| 2 | Dalton Deadman | CA | Petaluma High | 2027 | OF | 11.5 |
| 3 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 10.1 |
| 4 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 9.0 |
| 5 | Graham Hague | CA | Justin-Siena | 2028 | RHP | 7.0 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 66 % |
| 2 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 57 % |
| 3 | Graham Hague | CA | Justin-Siena | 2028 | RHP | 42 % |
Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 2656 rpm |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 2232 rpm |
| 3 | Dalton Deadman | CA | Petaluma High | 2027 | OF | 2163 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | -12.9 in |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | -9.3 in |
| 3 | Mateo Meenderink | CA | Heritage High | 2028 | SS | -9.1 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | -16.0 |
| 2 | Mateo Meenderink | CA | Heritage High | 2028 | SS | -12.5 |
| 3 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | -9.8 |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 2128 |
| 2 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 2063 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | -7.8 in |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 2.2 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | -6.8 |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | -2.7 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | William Pettey | CA | Whitney | 2027 | RHP | 37 % |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 20 % |
CHANGEUP
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Mateo Meenderink | CA | Heritage High | 2028 | SS | 12.2 in |
| 2 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 7.3 in |
| 3 | Dalton Deadman | CA | Petaluma High | 2027 | OF | 7.0 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 17.4 |
| 2 | Dalton Deadman | CA | Petaluma High | 2027 | OF | 11.1 |
| 3 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 7.8 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Jackson Gray | CA | Del Oro High | 2027 | RHP | 66 % |
| 2 | Mateo Meenderink | CA | Heritage High | 2028 | SS | 50 % |
| 3 | Luke Szakacs | CA | Rocklin | 2027 | RHP | 33 % |
+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.
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