Prep Baseball Report

NJ Fall ID: Statistical and Data Analysis


Nathan Goranson
Northeast Scout

Last month, the PB New Jersey staff traveled to Overpeck County Park in Bergen County, NJ, to host the NJ Fall ID Event an invite-only event for prospects within the classes of 2026-2029.

25 players made their way to Overpeck County Park on Wednesday and participated in a pro-style workout, gathering unrivaled access to data through our state-of-the-art tech partners, as well as in-depth scouting analysis from our Prep Baseball New Jersey staff.

Today, we will be looking at the top statistical performers from the event, found below.

 

POSITIONAL TOOLS


 

TOP 60-TIMES

Rank Name State School Class Pos 60-yd
1 Dylan Miller NJ Wallkill Valley 2028 OF 6.63 s
2 Anthony Bavaro NJ SJV 2027 OF 6.87 s
3 Cade Schofield NJ Audubon Middle-High School 2027 OF 7.02 s
4 Connor Chester NJ Audubon 2027 OF 7.04 s
^ Antoine Huet NJ Dr Ronald McNair High School 2028 OF 7.04 s

MAX INF VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos INF Velo
1 Gavin Peters NJ Christian Brothers Academy 2028 3B 79
2 Nate Opiola NY Don Bosco Prep 2028 SS 77
^ Cade Schofield NJ Audubon Middle-High School 2027 OF 77
^ Dominic Kennedy NJ Verona 2027 RHP 77

 

MAX OF VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos OF Velo
1 Chase Bozarth NJ Audubon 2026 OF 85
2 Shane Sammons NJ The Pennington School 2029 RHP 80
^ Jake Kubis NJ Wayne Hills 2027 RHP 80
3 Chad Thompson NJ Delbarton 2028 LHP 78


 

MAX C VELOCITY

Rank Name State School Class Pos C Velo
1 Jeshua Osorio NJ Montclair 2028 C 68

 

 

TRACKMAN


 
We'll continue to roll out the data we gathered from this event, starting with the analytics we have at our disposal from our TrackMan units. Below we'll look at which players had noteworthy batted ball and pitch data.

 
MAX FASTBALL VELOCITY & AVERAGE SPIN RATE
 

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Shane Sammons NJ The Pennington School 2029 RHP 82.5 mph
2 Nate Benus NJ Don Bosco Prep 2027 LHP 81.2 mph
3 Dylan Merz NJ St. Joseph Regional 2028 RHP 81.2 mph
4 Aedan Riley NJ Mountain Lakes 2028 RHP 80.4 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Aedan Riley NJ Mountain Lakes 2028 RHP 2171 rpm
2 Pete Cabrales NJ Westfield 2027 RHP 2162 rpm
3 Dominic Kennedy NJ Verona 2027 RHP 2089 rpm
4 Connor Chester NJ Audubon 2027 OF 2060 rpm

 

Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

 
AVERAGE FASTBALL HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT

 

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Gabriel Sosa NJ Livingston 2029 3B 17.6
2 Jake Kubis NJ Wayne Hills 2027 RHP 17.4
3 Chase Bozarth NJ Audubon 2026 OF 13.1

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

 
AVERAGE CURVEBALL & SLIDER SPIN RATE
 
 

Curveball

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Aedan Riley NJ Mountain Lakes 2028 RHP 2281 rpm
2 Dominic Kennedy NJ Verona 2027 RHP 2048 rpm
3 Antoine Huet NJ Dr Ronald McNair High School 2028 OF 2038 rpm

Slider

 

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Chase Bozarth NJ Audubon 2026 OF 2398
2 Dylan Merz NJ St. Joseph Regional 2028 RHP 2202
3 Jake Kubis NJ Wayne Hills 2027 RHP 2194

AVERAGE CHANGEUP HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT

 

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Gabriel Sosa NJ Livingston 2029 3B 17.8
2 Chase Bozarth NJ Audubon 2026 OF 15.7
3 Dominic Kennedy NJ Verona 2027 RHP 15.6

MAX & AVERAGE EXIT VELOCITY (HITTING)

 

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (max)
1 Pete Cabrales NJ Westfield 2027 RHP 96.9 mph
2 Chase Bozarth NJ Audubon 2026 OF 93.9 mph
3 Gavin Peters NJ Christian Brothers Academy 2028 3B 93.5 mph
4 Carlos Pereira NJ Union Catholic 2026 3B 91.8 mph
5 Nate Opiola NY Don Bosco Prep 2028 SS 91.6 mph

Rank Name State School Class Pos Exit Velocity (avg)
1 Pete Cabrales NJ Westfield 2027 RHP 93.0 mph
2 Gavin Peters NJ Christian Brothers Academy 2028 3B 90.1 mph
3 Antoine Huet NJ Dr Ronald McNair High School 2028 OF 86.3 mph
4 Nate Opiola NY Don Bosco Prep 2028 SS 86.1 mph
5 Connor Chester NJ Audubon 2027 OF 85.2 mph

MAX DISTANCE (HITTING)

 

Rank Name State School Class Pos Distance (max)
1 Pete Cabrales NJ Westfield 2027 RHP 343 ft
2 Anthony Bavaro NJ SJV 2027 OF 342 ft
3 Gavin Peters NJ Christian Brothers Academy 2028 3B 342 ft
4 Connor Chester NJ Audubon 2027 OF 334 ft
5 Dylan Miller NJ Wallkill Valley 2028 OF 332 ft

 

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.

 

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