Ontario Rising Stars ID: Pitching Data Dive
March 4, 2026
On Sunday, March 1st, the Prep Baseball Ontario staff hosted it's first Rising Stars ID of the year with the Ontario Rising Stars ID hosted at Future MVP Baseball Lab, in Scarborough, Ontario.
This event featured roughly 55 prospects in the 2030 - 2031 classes for an introductory showcase that allowed the young athletes to compete in their first showcase with players stricly within their age group. Rising Stars ID's also serve as identifiers for Canada's Junior Future Games Team that will compete at LakePoint Sports in late July against top players from each U.S. State.
All player ran through a full workout that included batting practice and bullpens captured on our TrackMan, as well as 30-yard runs and splits captured by VALD Performance and positional drills including velocities. Over the next several days we'll be highlighting top performers from the event within our post-event analysis. Stay locked into our social media channels over the next several days as we continue to push out video, leaderboards and more.
Earlier this week, we broke down the top measurable data performers from the event with our Statistical Analysis article. Now, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:
For complete event results, click here.
To view Class of 2026 Commitment Board, click here.
FASTBALL
MAX VELOCITY (MPH)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Velocity (max) |
| 1 | Jayden David | ON | PHS | 2030 | SS | 83.3 mph |
| 2 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | 78.7 mph |
| 3 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 78.5 mph |
| 4 | Reggie Mills | ON | Waterdown District High School | 2030 | 1B | 77.9 mph |
| 5 | Noah Reed | ON | Maxwell Heights Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 77.6 mph |
| 6 | Matthew Humphrey | ON | Notre Dame Catholic Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 77.4 mph |
| 7 | Owen Sedlak | ON | St. James Catholic High School | 2030 | C | 76.8 mph |
| 8 | Seita Tanaka | ON | Garth Webb Secondary School | 2030 | RHP | 76.3 mph |
| 9 | William Ristevski | ON | St Stephens Catholic Secondary | 2030 | LHP | 75.9 mph |
| 10 | Max Moretto | ON | Holy Names | 2030 | LHP | 75.2 mph |
Max Fastball Velocity: This metric calculates the speed of the pitch as it’s released from the pitcher’s hand.
SPIN RATE (AVG)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | 2125 rpm |
| 2 | Matthew Humphrey | ON | Notre Dame Catholic Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 2063 rpm |
| 3 | Jayden David | ON | PHS | 2030 | SS | 2001 rpm |
| 4 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 1989 rpm |
| 5 | Owen Sedlak | ON | St. James Catholic High School | 2030 | C | 1971 rpm |
Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Jackson Brock | ON | Newmarket High School | 2030 | RHP | 18.4 in |
| 2 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | 17.8 in |
| 3 | Owen Sedlak | ON | St. James Catholic High School | 2030 | C | 17.8 in |
| 4 | Jacob Feret | ON | Brooklin High School | 2031 | 1B | 17.4 in |
| 5 | Reggie Mills | ON | Waterdown District High School | 2030 | 1B | 16.7 in |
Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiency. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of the vertical approach angle.
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Noah Fernandez | ON | St. Stephen Catholic Secondary School | 2030 | SS | 16.9 |
| 2 | Cameron Cunningham | ON | Georgetown District High School | 2030 | 1B | 16.9 |
| 3 | Adrian Pasquarelli | ON | St Michael | 2031 | SS | 16.1 |
| 4 | William Ristevski | ON | St Stephens Catholic Secondary | 2030 | LHP | -15.2 |
| 5 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | -14.9 |
Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”
STRIKE ZONE %
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | FABRIZIO DARRIGO | ON | St Marcellinus | 2030 | 3B | 100 % |
| 2 | Brody Nicholson | ON | R.S. McLaughlin C.V.I | 2030 | RHP | 87 % |
| 3 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 85 % |
| 4 | Julian Manaois | ON | Bishop Allen Academy Catholic Secondary School | 2030 | C | 75 % |
| 5 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 71 % |
CURVEBALL
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 2410 rpm |
| 2 | Reggie Mills | ON | Waterdown District High School | 2030 | 1B | 2403 rpm |
| 3 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | 2319 rpm |
| 4 | Owen Sedlak | ON | St. James Catholic High School | 2030 | C | 2187 rpm |
| 5 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 1990 rpm |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | -14.2 in |
| 2 | Max Moretto | ON | Holy Names | 2030 | LHP | -13.4 in |
| 3 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | -10.0 in |
| 4 | Harry Sandico | ON | St. Marcellinus Secondary School | 2030 | 2B | -9.0 in |
| 5 | Jacob Feret | ON | Brooklin High School | 2031 | 1B | 9.0 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Cameron Anderson | ON | Bowmanville High School | 2030 | SS | -16.1 |
| 2 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | -15.3 |
| 3 | Jayden David | ON | PHS | 2030 | SS | -15.1 |
| 4 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 14.9 |
| 5 | Reggie Mills | ON | Waterdown District High School | 2030 | 1B | -14.7 |
STRIKE ZONE RATE%
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Owen Sedlak | ON | St. James Catholic High School | 2030 | C | 75 % |
| ^ | Noah Reed | ON | Maxwell Heights Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | 75 % |
| 2 | Marquise Gordon | ON | TBD | 2031 | SS | 66 % |
| ^ | Cameron Anderson | ON | Bowmanville High School | 2030 | SS | 66 % |
| 3 | Lucas Spourgitis | ON | Bill Crothers Secondary School | 2030 | 1B | 60 % |
SLIDER
SPIN RATE (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Spin Rate (avg) |
| 1 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | 2221 |
| 2 | Elliot Harlock | ON | Hillfield Strathallan College | 2030 | 1B | 2070 |
| 3 | Matthew Humphrey | ON | Notre Dame Catholic Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 2022 |
| 4 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 1940 |
| 5 | Brody Nicholson | ON | R.S. McLaughlin C.V.I | 2030 | RHP | 1932 |
INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | IVB (avg) |
| 1 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | -12.4 in |
| 2 | Seita Tanaka | ON | Garth Webb Secondary School | 2030 | RHP | -7.5 in |
| 3 | Matthew Humphrey | ON | Notre Dame Catholic Secondary | 2030 | RHP | -7.4 in |
| 4 | Max Moretto | ON | Holy Names | 2030 | LHP | -5.6 in |
| 5 | Christian Lopez | ON | Christ the King Catholic Secondary School | 2030 | 2B | 4.0 in |
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | -24.6 |
| 2 | Marquise Gordon | ON | TBD | 2031 | SS | -13.4 |
| 3 | Matthew Humphrey | ON | Notre Dame Catholic Secondary | 2030 | RHP | -11.4 |
| 4 | Noah Fernandez | ON | St. Stephen Catholic Secondary School | 2030 | SS | -8.6 |
| 5 | Seita Tanaka | ON | Garth Webb Secondary School | 2030 | RHP | -7.6 |
STRIKE ZONE %
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 100 % |
| 2 | Marquise Gordon | ON | TBD | 2031 | SS | 80 % |
| 3 | FABRIZIO DARRIGO | ON | St Marcellinus | 2030 | 3B | 66 % |
| ^ | Carter Elliott | ON | Nelson High School | 2030 | RHP | 66 % |
| ^ | Gianfranco Guiang | ON | St. Martin Secondary School | 2030 | SS | 66 % |
CHANGEUP
HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | HM (avg) |
| 1 | Christian Lopez | ON | Christ the King Catholic Secondary School | 2030 | 2B | 19.4 |
| 2 | Clark Robinson | ON | Donald A. Wilson Secondary School | 2030 | LHP | -17.4 |
| 3 | Hudson Cammisuli | ON | St. Stephen Secondary | 2030 | RHP | 17.0 |
| 4 | Noah Fernandez | ON | St. Stephen Catholic Secondary School | 2030 | SS | 16.8 |
| 5 | Cameron Cunningham | ON | Georgetown District High School | 2030 | 1B | 16.8 |
STRIKE ZONE %
| Rank | Name | State | School | Class | Pos | Zone % |
| 1 | Elliot Harlock | ON | Hillfield Strathallan College | 2030 | 1B | 100 % |
| ^ | Cameron Cunningham | ON | Georgetown District High School | 2030 | 1B | 100 % |
| ^ | Gianfranco Guiang | ON | St. Martin Secondary School | 2030 | SS | 100 % |
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