Prep Baseball Report

NJ Last Chance Fall ID: Pitching Data Dive


Nathan Goranson
Northeast Scout

Last month, the PB New Jersey staff traveled to Top Corner Sports in Bridgewater, NJ, to host the annual NJ Last Chance Fall ID, an open event for the class of 2026-2029.

We've already posted a Statistical Analysis, from the event, highlighting more of the traditional statistical categories, a "Takeaways" article will follow soon, highlighting some of the events top performers.

Today, we will take a further in-depth look at the top pitchers with the help of our tech partnerships, broken down by the categories down below:


Trackman


FASTBALL

VELOCITY (MAX)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Velocity (max)
1 Tyler Korsten NY Scarsdale 2027 RHP 87.6 mph
2 Kevin Magsam NJ Kingsway 2027 RHP 86.7 mph
3 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 85.3 mph
4 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 84.7 mph
5 Landon Hesse NJ Whippany Park 2028 RHP 83.4 mph

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 2462 rpm
2 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 2262 rpm
3 Brennan Albanese NJ Red Bank Regional 2028 LHP 2204 rpm
4 Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP 2089 rpm
5 Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 2048 rpm

Spin Rate: This metric calculates the rate of spin on the baseball as it leaves the pitcher’s hand, measured in revolutions per minute (rpm). Historical data shows that high-spin fastballs lessen the impact of gravity, allowing for more ‘rise’ (or less fall, in other words) as it carries through the zone. Low-spin fastballs typically indicate the pitch has greater horizontal action, often making it tougher to square up, but generally easier to make contact with, leading to more ground balls, while high-spin fastballs show a correlation with swings and misses.

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 22.4 in
2 Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 21.5 in
3 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 20.8 in
4 Michael Tilton Jr NJ Emily C Reynolds 2030 SS 20.0 in
5 Santino Viturello NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 19.8 in

Induced Vertical Break: Used in short form as "IVB," this metric is most important on fastballs for creating rise and on curveballs for creating depth – it can also have some use when measuring sliders and cutters as well. Sliders tend to be closer to zero inches while cutters are generally between 5 and 15 inches. Usually fastballs and curveballs with large IVB have higher spin efficiencies as well. Sliders generally have very little (closer to zero) IVB and very low spin efficiencies. You could also categorize IVB into spin rate as this is part of the “useful movement” you’re looking for. IVB is also a huge part of vertical approach angle.

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Joey Goldring NJ Phillipsburg 2027 RHP 17.2
2 Tyler Korsten NY Scarsdale 2027 RHP 16.7
3 Joziah Rivera NJ St Joseph High School 2027 1B 16.5
4 Kevin Magsam NJ Kingsway 2027 RHP 15.2
5 Cailen Cimorelli NJ Donovan Catholic 2027 RHP 15.2

Horizontal Break: Outlined on TrackMan’s own website: “... horizontal movement is measured in inches between where the pitch actually crosses the front of home plate side-wise, and where it would have crossed home plate side-wise if had it traveled in a perfectly straight line from release. A positive number means the break was to the right from the pitcher’s perspective, while a negative number means the break was to the left from the pitcher’s perspective.”

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Cailen Cimorelli NJ Donovan Catholic 2027 RHP 87 %
2 Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP 83 %
3 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 80 %
4 Landon Hesse NJ Whippany Park 2028 RHP 62 %

 Average MLB pitchers throw 62% strikes, and better pitchers throw strikes 65% of the time, or roughly 2:1 strikes to balls.


CURVEBALL

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 2298 rpm
2 Michael Tilton Jr NJ Emily C Reynolds 2030 SS 2169 rpm
3 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 2102 rpm
4 Dane Szymborski PA Central Bucks - East 2028 SS 2088 rpm
5 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 2073 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 10.0 in
2 Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP -9.2 in
3 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP -6.2 in
4 Kevin Magsam NJ Kingsway 2027 RHP 6.1 in
5 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B -5.5 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Michael Tilton Jr NJ Emily C Reynolds 2030 SS -16.5
2 Joey Goldring NJ Phillipsburg 2027 RHP -15.0
3 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 14.1
4 Joziah Rivera NJ St Joseph High School 2027 1B -13.1
5 Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP -12.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 George Willard NJ Delran 2027 RHP 80 %
2 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 66 %
^ Joziah Rivera NJ St Joseph High School 2027 1B 66 %
3 Michael Tilton Jr NJ Emily C Reynolds 2030 SS 60 %
4 Dane Szymborski PA Central Bucks - East 2028 SS 50 %
^ Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 50 %
^ Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 50 %


SLIDER

SPIN RATE (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 2037
2 Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 2018
3 Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP 2017
4 Cailen Cimorelli NJ Donovan Catholic 2027 RHP 2013
5 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 2006

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 8.2 in
2 Santino Viturello NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 7.0 in
3 Joziah Rivera NJ St Joseph High School 2027 1B 5.7 in
4 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 5.3 in
5 Tyler Korsten NY Scarsdale 2027 RHP 5.1 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Michael Tilton Jr NJ Emily C Reynolds 2030 SS -16.5
2 Joey Goldring NJ Phillipsburg 2027 RHP -15.0
3 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 14.1
4 Joziah Rivera NJ St Joseph High School 2027 1B -13.1
5 Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP -12.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Cailen Cimorelli NJ Donovan Catholic 2027 RHP 75 %
^ Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 75 %
^ Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP 75 %
^ Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 75 %
2 Landon Hesse NJ Whippany Park 2028 RHP 60 %
^ Tyler Korsten NY Scarsdale 2027 RHP 60 %
3 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 50 %

 


CHANGEUP

Spin Rate (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos Spin Rate (avg)
1 Kevin Magsam NJ Kingsway 2027 RHP 1747 rpm
2 Dane Szymborski PA Central Bucks - East 2028 SS 1721 rpm
3 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 1707 rpm
4 Santino Viturello NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 1702 rpm
5 Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 1701 rpm

INDUCED VERTICAL BREAK (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos IVB (avg)
1 Aidan Gamble PA Downingtown West 2028 1B 18.1 in
2 Gavin Forlai NJ St. Joseph's Montvale 2028 2B 16.6 in
3 Landon Hesse NJ Whippany Park 2028 RHP 14.1 in
4 Dane Szymborski PA Central Bucks - East 2028 SS 14.0 in
5 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 13.1 in

HORIZONTAL MOVEMENT (AVG.)

Rank Name State School Class Pos HM (avg)
1 Kevin Magsam NJ Kingsway 2027 RHP 18.0
2 Dane Szymborski PA Central Bucks - East 2028 SS 17.2
3 Stephen Verdolini III PA Central Bucks-West 2028 RHP 16.9
4 Cailen Cimorelli NJ Donovan Catholic 2027 RHP 16.7
5 Andrew Furfari NJ Paul VI 2028 OF 15.5

STRIKE ZONE RATE%

Rank Name State School Class Pos Zone %
1 Joey Goldring NJ Phillipsburg 2027 RHP 66 %
^ Dane Szymborski PA Central Bucks - East 2028 SS 66 %
2 Landon Hesse NJ Whippany Park 2028 RHP 60 %
3 Michael Tilton Jr NJ Emily C Reynolds 2030 SS 50 %
^ Jonathan Rossi NJ Cumberland Regional 2027 RHP 50 %

+ CLICK HERE for a look at the complete statistics from the event.


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